Publications
                          FOR DELIVERY: 9:30 A.M., E.S.T.
                            FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 5, 1999


Advance copies of this statement are made available to the
press under lock-up conditions with the explicit
understanding that the data are embargoed until 8:30 a.m.
Eastern Standard Time.

Statement of

Katharine G. Abraham
Commissioner
Bureau of Labor Statistics

Friday, February 5, 1999



	Good morning.  I am pleased to have this opportunity
to comment on the employment and unemployment data that we
released this morning.
	The unemployment rate was unchanged in January, at 4.3
percent.  Nonfarm payroll employment, as measured by our
establishment survey, increased by 245,000 over the month,
about in line with the average over the prior 12 months.
Most of the industry divisions contributed to the January
rise.
	January job gains were led by the services industry,
which had about-average growth, adding 114,000 jobs.
Engineering and management services and computer services
continued their strong growth trends.  These industries
expanded by 27,000 and 17,000 jobs, respectively.
Employment in amusement and recreation increased by 13,000,
reversing a similar decline in December.  Help supply
services employment was up 8,000 over the month; over the
year, help supply employment rose by 58,000, compared with
295,000 over the prior year.  Health services employment
gains were weak.  While employment in medical offices was up
by 9,000, hospital employment was flat and home health care
services lost jobs.
	Finance and real estate continued to show strength in
January, adding 11,000 jobs each.  Within finance, increases
were spread among banks, brokerages, and investment offices.
	Wholesale trade employment rose by 28,000 in January,
following a small increase in December.  In retail trade,
employment was up 30,000 over the month, after seasonal
adjustment.
	Building supply stores added 13,000 jobs over the
month, reflecting the recent strength of construction
activity.  Apparel stores and miscellaneous retail
establishments, such as bookstores and jewelry stores, hired
fewer workers than usual for the holiday season.  As a
result, January layoffs were lighter than expected by our
seasonal factors, which led to over-the-month increases in
employment on a seasonally adjusted basis.  In contrast,
employment in department stores dropped by a roughly
offsetting amount, as unusually strong holiday hiring was
followed by large post-holiday layoffs in January.
	Employment growth was strong for the second month in a
row in both the transportation and communications
industries.  The trucking industry accounted for nearly all
of the 13,000 January increase in transportation.
Communications employment advanced by 11,000 over the month,
led by strength in telephone communications.
	Government employment was up 36,000 in January.  The
over-the-month increase was confined to local government,
with gains occurring in both its education and noneducation
components.
	In the goods-producing industries, construction added
15,000 jobs, despite severe winter weather in the Midwest
and Northeast, which halted some outdoor construction
activity during the January survey reference week.  Since
September, on a seasonally adjusted basis, construction has
added 184,000 jobs.
	Manufacturing employment fell again in January, though
both the December and January declines were substantially
less than those in October and November.  Industrial
machinery and electronic components continued to lose jobs;
since March, the two industries have lost 69,000 and 63,000
jobs, respectively.  Apparel continued its long-term decline
with a loss of 8,000 jobs.  Since its most recent peak in
November 1991, employment in apparel manufacturing has
fallen by 294,000, or 29 percent.  On the positive side,
lumber and wood products added 8,000 jobs in January,
reflecting recent strength in construction activity.  Auto
manufacturing posted its first gain since October, adding
6,000 jobs, and employment grew for the third consecutive
month in both food products (8,000) and rubber and
miscellaneous plastics (5,000).
	Mining lost 9,000 jobs over the month as low oil
prices continued to affect U.S. oil production.  The
industry has lost 48,000 jobs since its most recent peak in
September 1997.
Average hourly earnings of production or nonsupervisory
workers in the private sector grew by 6 cents in January, to
$13.04.  This was the largest monthly increase since August.
Over the year, hourly earnings increased by 50 cents, or 4.0
percent.  The average workweek ticked down a tenth of an
hour to 34.5 hours in January, and the manufacturing
workweek fell two-tenths of an hour to 41.5 hours.
Turning now to our survey of households, the
unemployment rate was 4.3 percent in January.  It has
remained at or below 4.5 percent since April of last year.
The unemployment rate for workers of Hispanic origin dropped
1.0 percentage point in January to 6.6 percent.  Rates for
the other major worker groups were essentially unchanged.
Civilian employment increased by 814,000 (after removing the
effect of revisions to population controls, which I will
describe in a moment).  Employment of both adult men and
adult women grew.  The civilian employment-to-population
ratio rose three-tenths of a percentage point to a new high
of 64.5 percent.
The January household survey data incorporate revised
estimates of the civilian noninstitutional population age 16
and over.  These revisions primarily reflect newly updated
demographic information on immigrants to, and emigrants
from, the United States.  The revisions raise the January
1999 estimate of the population age 16 and over by 307,000.
The impact of the revision varies across subgroups of the
population, such as men (-183,000), women (491,000),
Hispanic origin (-164,000) and non-Hispanic origin
(471,000).
The revised controls increase the estimated size of the
labor force and total employment by about 60,000 each, as
more substantial, but offsetting, changes occurred among
population subgroups.  The population revisions had a
negligible impact on the unemployment rate and other
percentages.
In summary, nonfarm payroll employment rose moderately
in January, and unemployment was essentially unchanged.

My colleagues and I now would be glad to respond to
your questions.

CPS Publications - Historical Monthly Employment Reports: 1999 Page

CPS Main Page


Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
Contact: (cpsinfo@bls.gov) Division of Labor Force Statistics-BLS
Last revised: April 01, 1999
URL: http://www.bls.census.gov/cps/pub/jec_0199.htm